Bembibre vs Turégano: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, Bembibre
The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Turégano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bembibre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bembibre vs Turégano?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Bembibre (1,722) and Turégano (1,725).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bembibre vs Turégano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bembibre
Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.
Turégano
4-3-3- 7Alcubilla
- 10Juan Núñez
- 11Carlos Cotrina
- 5David Aguado
- 14Guillermo Martín Duque
- 20Adri González
- 3David Arranz Sanz
- 2Javier García
- 4Julio Gómez
- 16Marcos San Miguel
- 1Álvaro González
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bembibre have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Turégano have 2, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Mansillés(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colegios Diocesanos(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villaralbo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Arandina(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bembibre score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Turégano score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bembibre | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Turégano | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 6/10 | 6/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bembibre sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (14 points from 7 matches) and Turégano sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bembibre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 14 |
| 14 | Turégano | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Bembibre vs Turégano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bembibre vs Turégano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bembibre the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Turégano.
- Where and when is Bembibre vs Turégano played?
- Bembibre vs Turégano is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Jesús Esteban Rodríguez 1, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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