Match

Cristo Atlético vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Cristo AtléticoMirandés II

The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cristo Atlético vs Mirandés II?

Cristo Atlético starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,866 vs 1,757).

Cristo Atlético win58 %
Draw25 %
Mirandés II win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cristo Atlético have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mirandés II have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cristo Atlético
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Laredo(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Palencia CF(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Palencia CF(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 10, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Mirandés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Villaralbo(home)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Arandina(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 25, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026Bembibre(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 11, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cristo Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Mirandés II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Mirandés II 2-1 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 14, 2025Cristo Atlético 1-0 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2025Cristo Atlético 1-2 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 6, 2024Mirandés II 0-0 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2024Mirandés II 1-0 Cristo AtléticoTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Dec 2, 2023Cristo Atlético 2-0 Mirandés IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Cristo Atlético on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cristo Atlético score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cristo Atlético1.50.858/155/15
Mirandés II1.31.5210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cristo Atlético sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (68 points from 34 matches) and Mirandés II sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cristo Atlético342158482468
8Mirandés II3413813433547

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cristo Atlético vs Mirandés II?
The Footlab model makes Cristo Atlético the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Mirandés II.
Where and when is Cristo Atlético vs Mirandés II played?
Cristo Atlético vs Mirandés II is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Cristo Atlético and Mirandés II

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