Palencia CF vs Mirandés II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia
The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Mirandés II. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Palencia CF vs Mirandés II?
Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,655).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Palencia CF vs Mirandés II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Palencia CF
Not enough data to predict the Palencia CF lineup.
Mirandés II
Not enough data to predict the Mirandés II lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 06:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Mirandés II have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bembibre(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cristo Atlético(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Turégano(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Calasanz de Soria(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Salamanca II(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Almazán(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | La Virgen del Camino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD Santa Marta(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Palencia CF wins, 0 draws, 1 Mirandés II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Palencia CF 3-1 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Palencia CF 1-2 Mirandés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Mirandés II 0-2 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Mirandés II 0-1 Palencia CF | Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 |
Last archived meeting: Mirandés II vs Palencia CF on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Palencia CF score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mirandés II score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palencia CF | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Mirandés II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palencia CF sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (17 points from 10 matches) and Mirandés II sit 18th (3 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palencia CF | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 17 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Palencia CF vs Mirandés II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Mirandés II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Mirandés II.
- Where and when is Palencia CF vs Mirandés II played?
- Palencia CF vs Mirandés II is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027GuijuelovsCalasanz de Soria
- Jan 17, 2027ArandinavsUD Santa Marta
- Jan 17, 2027BembibrevsCristo Atlético
- Jan 17, 2027La Virgen del CaminovsSalamanca II
- Jan 17, 2027Colegios DiocesanosvsCultural Leonesa II
- Jan 17, 2027Atlético MansillésvsTurégano
- Jan 17, 2027VillaralbovsBurgos Promesas
- Jan 17, 2027Unionistas IIvsAlmazán