Las Rozas vs Villanueva Pardillo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Villanueva Pardillo?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,780) and Villanueva Pardillo (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Villanueva Pardillo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Carabanchel(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Racing Madrid(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Las Rozas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Villanueva Pardillo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo 2-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Las Rozas 1-0 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Villanueva Pardillo 2-1 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Las Rozas 0-1 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Las Rozas on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th (44 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 12 | Villanueva Pardillo | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 45 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Villanueva Pardillo?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Villanueva Pardillo played?
- Las Rozas vs Villanueva Pardillo is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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