Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia Moscardó

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,768) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Colonia Moscardó win43 %

Draw27 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 28, 2024	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-2 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 9, 2023	Colonia Moscardó 1-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 20, 2022	Pozuelo Alarcón 3-0 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 24, 2021	Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Colonia Moscardó on Jan 28, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Colonia Moscardó vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.