Torrejón vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrejón vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Torrejón (1,785) and Unión Adarve (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Torrejón win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Unión Adarve win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Unión Adarve 2-2 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Torrejón 0-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Torrejón 0-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Unión Adarve 1-1 Torrejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Torrejón 0-2 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Torrejón on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrejón | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torrejón sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Torrejón | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 46 | 60 |
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Torrejón vs Unión Adarve played?
- Torrejón vs Unión Adarve is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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