Match

Torrejón vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz

TorrejónUnión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torrejón vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Torrejón (1,785) and Unión Adarve (1,795).

Torrejón win38 %
Draw26 %
Unión Adarve win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torrejón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Las Rozas(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Las Rozas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026AD Parla(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Torrejón win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Unión Adarve win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Unión Adarve 2-2 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 26, 2025Torrejón 0-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 31, 2021Torrejón 0-0 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 1, 2020Unión Adarve 1-1 TorrejónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 27, 2019Torrejón 0-2 Unión AdarveTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Torrejón on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torrejón1.71.5211/159/15
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torrejón sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torrejón341798574660
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Unión Adarve?
The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Torrejón vs Unión Adarve played?
Torrejón vs Unión Adarve is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Torrejón and Unión Adarve

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