Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Colonia Moscardó. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,765) and Trival Valderas (1,829).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Navalcarnero(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Colonia Moscardó win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Trival Valderas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Colonia Moscardó 1-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Trival Valderas 1-1 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 16, 2022 | Colonia Moscardó 0-0 Trival Valderas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Trival Valderas 1-0 Colonia Moscardó | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colonia Moscardó | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Trival Valderas | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 36 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas?
- The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Colonia Moscardó.
- Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas played?
- Colonia Moscardó vs Trival Valderas is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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