SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
SS Reyes II starts as the favourite with a 247-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,540).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Reyes II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | A Madrid III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | Madrid 2021 FP(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 16, 2023 | RSC Internacional(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 6, 2023 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Galapagar(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Reyes II score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Reyes II | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Aranjuez | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SS Reyes II | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 35 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez?
- The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Real Aranjuez.
- Where and when is SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez played?
- SS Reyes II vs Real Aranjuez is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 4, 2026MóstolesvsLeganés II
- Oct 4, 2026TorrejónvsUnión Adarve
- Oct 4, 2026Trival ValderasvsLas Rozas
- Oct 4, 2026GalapagarvsCala Pozuelo
- Oct 4, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Oct 4, 2026RC AlcobendasvsRayo Vallecano II