Where and when is Móstoles vs Leganés II played?

Móstoles vs Leganés II is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Móstoles vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

Móstoles

Leganés II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,755) and Leganés II (1,800).

Móstoles win26 %

Draw22 %

Leganés II win52 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Móstoles win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Leganés II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Móstoles 1-1 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 14, 2025	Leganés II 2-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 28, 2024	Móstoles 0-3 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 17, 2023	Leganés II 0-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 20, 2022	Leganés II 0-0 Móstoles	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2021	Móstoles 3-3 Leganés II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Leganés II on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (51 points from 34 matches) and Leganés II sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Leganés II?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 52%, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Leganés II played?: Móstoles vs Leganés II is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.