Match

Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaGalapagar

The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fuenlabrada wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,791) and Galapagar (1,739).

44%26%30%
Fuenlabrada winDrawGalapagar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Fuenlabrada

4-3-3
  1. AA. Damar
  2. MManu Garrido
  3. CC. Omoigui
  1. AAntonio Moyano
  2. FFer Ruiz
  3. SSergio Aguza
  1. ÁÁlvaro García
  2. BB. Ouacharaf
  3. 14Álvaro Barbosa
  4. DDavid Alba
  1. LLucas Díaz

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Parla Escuela(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Unión Adarve(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Torrejón(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Móstoles(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 12, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)5-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada1.11.548/158/15
Galapagar1.91.6112/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fuenlabrada sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (8 points from 5 matches) and Galapagar sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Galapagar52211088
8Fuenlabrada5221768

A question about Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar?
The Footlab AI model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar played?
Fuenlabrada vs Galapagar is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fuenlabrada and Galapagar

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