Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport played?

Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Canaleja, Alcorcón

Trival Valderas

Alcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport?

Trival Valderas starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,714).

Trival Valderas win52 %

Draw25 %

Alcobendas Sport win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trival Valderas have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Alcobendas Sport
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Leganés II(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Torrejón(away)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026	AD Parla(home)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trival Valderas win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Alcobendas Sport 0-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 4, 2026	Trival Valderas 2-3 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 5, 2025	Alcobendas Sport 1-2 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 24, 2024	Trival Valderas 1-2 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 5, 2024	Alcobendas Sport 0-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 14, 2024	Trival Valderas 0-1 Alcobendas Sport	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Alcobendas Sport vs Trival Valderas on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15
Alcobendas Sport	1.2	1.4	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trival Valderas sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
11	Alcobendas Sport	34	12	10	13	45	49	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport played?: Trival Valderas vs Alcobendas Sport is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Canaleja, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.