Match

Móstoles vs SS Reyes II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

MóstolesSS Reyes II

The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs SS Reyes II?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,755) and SS Reyes II (1,787).

Móstoles win32 %
Draw25 %
SS Reyes II win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; SS Reyes II have 6, 7 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026A Madrid III(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)3-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Trival Valderas(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
SS Reyes II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Illescas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(away)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026A Madrid III(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Móstoles win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 SS Reyes II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2026Móstoles 1-1 SS Reyes IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 5, 2025SS Reyes II 1-1 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs SS Reyes II on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SS Reyes II score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Móstoles1.11.5010/154/15
SS Reyes II1.70.969/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (51 points from 34 matches) and SS Reyes II sit 8th (49 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Móstoles3414911514551
8SS Reyes II3412139453549

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs SS Reyes II?
The Footlab model makes SS Reyes II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Móstoles vs SS Reyes II played?
Móstoles vs SS Reyes II is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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