Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Barry Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colwyn Bay wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,802 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?
On Elo ratings, Barry Town has 1,905 points and Colwyn Bay 1,893.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barry Town
4-3-3- 7N. Daley
- 20E. Dugan
- 9J. Crosbie
- 2M. George
- 8D. Barton
- 21J. Shaw
- 3E. Williams
- 4C. Sainty
- 16J. Lester
- 6K. Davies
- 31G. Ratcliffe
Colwyn Bay
4-3-3- 11J. Davies
- 7J. Kenny
- 9A. Davies
- 22D. Poole
- 8C. Bratley
- 16J. Williams
- 4N. Peate
- 5L. Sirrell
- 3S. Hart
- 6S. Forde
- 1M. Halstead
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 10:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Colwyn Bay have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tredegar Town(home) | 2-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Buckley Town(away) | 2-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barry Town win, 1 draw, 4 Colwyn Bay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 5-2 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Colwyn Bay 3-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Barry Town 0-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 1-4 Barry Town | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Barry Town 1-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 1-0 Barry Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Colwyn Bay vs Barry Town on Sep 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Colwyn Bay score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Colwyn Bay | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 6th in Premier League (25 points from 14 matches) and Colwyn Bay sit 5th (26 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 25 |
A question about Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Barry Town.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay played?
- Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay is played on December 5, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.