Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Four Crosses Construction Arena, Bae Colwyn, Conwy
The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Colwyn Bay starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colwyn Bay have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Colwyn Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Colwyn Bay 3-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Haverfordwest County AFC 3-1 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Colwyn Bay 0-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC 5-0 Colwyn Bay | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Colwyn Bay 1-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Colwyn Bay on Nov 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Colwyn Bay score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colwyn Bay | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colwyn Bay sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Colwyn Bay | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Colwyn Bay the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Four Crosses Construction Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.