Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sport Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Comerciantes Unidos (1,599) and Sport Boys (1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sport Boys have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Comerciantes Unidos win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sport Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Sport Boys 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sport Boys 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Comerciantes Unidos 0-4 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| May 11, 2024 | Sport Boys 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Jun 29, 2019 | Sport Boys 0-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Copa Bicentenario |
Last archived meeting: Sport Boys vs Comerciantes Unidos on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and Sport Boys sit 11th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Sport Boys.
- Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys played?
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys is played on November 14, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026UTC CajamarcavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Nov 14, 2026Sporting CristalvsCienciano
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza LimavsFC Cajamarca
- Nov 14, 2026Sport HuancayovsUniversitario
- Nov 14, 2026Alianza AtleticovsFBC Melgar
- Nov 14, 2026CuscovsADT
- Nov 14, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Nov 14, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAtletico Grau