Como vs Lecce: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Lecce. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Como vs Lecce?
Como starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (2,194 vs 1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Como vs Lecce
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Como
4-2-3-1- 9T. Douvikas
- 10N. Paz
- 11Assane Diao
- 7L. da Cunha
- 5M. Perrone
- 20M. Baturina
- 4Jacobo Ramón Naveros
- 27Yan Couto
- 99T. Chalobah
- 16Kaiki
- 1J. Butez
Lecce
4-3-3- 50S. Pierotti
- 22Paco Esteban
- 7A. Ahmed Fatah
- 29L. Coulibaly
- 20I. Ilić
- 14Y. Maleh
- 17Danilo Veiga
- 25A. Gallo
- 5J. Siebert
- 44Tiago Gabriel
- 30W. Falcone
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Como have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Lecce have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 0-4 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Como wins, 1 draw, 1 Lecce win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Como 3-1 Lecce | Serie A |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Lecce 0-3 Como | Serie A |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Lecce 0-3 Como | Serie A |
| Dec 30, 2024 | Como 2-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Lecce 1-0 Como | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Como 1-1 Lecce | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Como score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lecce score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como | 1.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Lecce | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Como sit 7th in Serie A (11 points from 6 matches) and Lecce sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Como | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 13 | Lecce | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Como vs Lecce?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Como vs Lecce?
- The Footlab AI model makes Como the favourite at 74%, against 17% for a draw and 9% for Lecce.
- Where and when is Como vs Lecce played?
- Como vs Lecce is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.