AS Roma vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie AMatchday 17Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Roma wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Roma vs Frosinone?
AS Roma starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,232 vs 2,082).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 18M. Soulé
- 4B. Cristante
- 43Wesley
- 20N. Molina
- 86Rodrigo Mora
- 15M. de Roon
- 5E. Ndicka
- 22Hermoso
- 26L. Balerdi
- 95P. Gollini
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 16Matteo Cichella
- 3G. Calvani
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 30I. Monterisi
- 20A. Oyono
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 01:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Manchester United(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 5-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cagliari(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 AS Roma wins, 0 draws, 0 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Frosinone 0-3 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Oct 1, 2023 | AS Roma 2-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Frosinone 2-3 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2018 | AS Roma 4-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 30, 2016 | AS Roma 3-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Frosinone 0-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 2.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Frosinone | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Roma sit 3rd in Serie A (27 points from 11 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 27 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 20 |
A question about AS Roma vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes AS Roma the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is AS Roma vs Frosinone played?
- AS Roma vs Frosinone is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.