Inter vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Inter vs Sassuolo?
Inter starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (2,301 vs 2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Inter vs Sassuolo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Inter
3-5-2- 9M. Thuram
- 94F. Esposito
- 32F. Dimarco
- 17A. Diouf
- 22H. Mkhitaryan
- 20H. Çalhanoğlu
- 8P. Sučić
- 31Y. Bisseck
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 28B. Pavard
- 1Josep Martínez
Sassuolo
4-3-3- 45A. Laurienté
- 94S. Esposito
- 10D. Berardi
- 18N. Matić
- 50D. Bakola
- 17Vasilije Adžić
- 3J. Doig
- 16F. Leysen
- 15D. Ćaleta-Car
- 20I. Van der Brempt
- 49A. Murić
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 06:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Inter have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Sassuolo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Parma(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese(home) | 5-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Inter wins, 0 draws, 2 Sassuolo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Sassuolo 0-5 Inter | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Inter 2-1 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| May 4, 2024 | Sassuolo 1-0 Inter | Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Inter 1-2 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| May 13, 2023 | Inter 4-2 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Sassuolo 0-1 Inter | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Inter score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Sassuolo | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Inter sit 1st in Serie A (16 points from 6 matches) and Sassuolo sit 11th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Inter vs Sassuolo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Inter vs Sassuolo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Inter the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Sassuolo.
- Where and when is Inter vs Sassuolo played?
- Inter vs Sassuolo is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.