Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Compostela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Compostela (1,886) and Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,974).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Compostela have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Badalona II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 31, 2026 | Atlético Arteixo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Compostela win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Compostela 3-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 2-0 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Compostela 1-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 3-4 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 1-1 Compostela | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 5, 2022 | Compostela 1-0 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Compostela score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compostela | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Compostela.
- Where and when is Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega played?
- Compostela vs Gimnástica Torrelavega is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Multiusos de San Lázaro, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.