Deportivo Alavés II vs Sestao River: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, Vitoria-Gasteiz
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Sestao River. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Sestao River?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Deportivo Alavés II (1,992) and Sestao River (1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Alavés II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sestao River have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gernika(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Utebo(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Amorebieta(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Deportivo Alavés II win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Sestao River win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sestao River 1-2 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Deportivo Alavés II 1-1 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Deportivo Alavés II 0-0 Sestao River | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Sestao River 1-1 Deportivo Alavés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Sestao River vs Deportivo Alavés II on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Alavés II score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sestao River score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés II | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sestao River | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Alavés II vs Sestao River?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Alavés II the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for Sestao River.
- Where and when is Deportivo Alavés II vs Sestao River played?
- Deportivo Alavés II vs Sestao River is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva José Luis Compañón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.