Coruxo vs Bergantiños: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 23Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Vao, Vigo
The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bergantiños. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coruxo vs Bergantiños?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Coruxo (1,898) and Bergantiños (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coruxo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Bergantiños have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pontevedra(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lugo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sámano(away) | 5-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | UD Ourense(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Oviedo II(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sarriana(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 4-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Coruxo win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Bergantiños win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Bergantiños 0-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Coruxo 0-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Bergantiños 0-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Coruxo 2-1 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| May 7, 2023 | Bergantiños 1-1 Coruxo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Coruxo 3-0 Bergantiños | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bergantiños vs Coruxo on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Coruxo score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bergantiños score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coruxo | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bergantiños | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coruxo sit 5th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 34 matches) and Bergantiños sit 10th (48 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Coruxo | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 52 |
| 10 | Bergantiños | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 37 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coruxo vs Bergantiños?
- The Footlab model makes Coruxo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Bergantiños.
- Where and when is Coruxo vs Bergantiños played?
- Coruxo vs Bergantiños is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Vao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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