Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Le Puy Foot. The most likely score is 1-1. If Concarneau wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Concarneau (1,847) and Le Puy Foot (1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Concarneau
4-2-3-1- 9S. Janno
- 8M. Picouleau
- 24C. Divialle Corbière
- 23L. Goujon
- 26T. Sinquin
- 18F. Da Silva
- 5B. Etcheverria
- 6D. Seba
- 27J. Halby-Touré
- 15Demba Yatera
- 1V. Viot
Le Puy Foot
3-5-2- 17P. Nsingi
- 9M. Faty
- 10R. Xhemo
- 18A. Gauthier
- 13A. Fatahine
- 21L. Baret
- 7S. Kouassi
- 2Vinicius
- 3E. Seidou
- 19T. Ghalem
- 1Matis Carvalho
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concarneau have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Le Puy Foot have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rouen(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bastia(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gobelins(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Caen(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aubagne(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Valenciennes(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Villefranche(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Concarneau win, 3 draws, 2 Le Puy Foot wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Concarneau 0-3 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Le Puy Foot 1-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| May 12, 2023 | Le Puy Foot 2-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Concarneau 0-0 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
| Jan 24, 2020 | Le Puy Foot 0-1 Concarneau | Ligue 3 |
| Aug 16, 2019 | Concarneau 1-1 Le Puy Foot | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Concarneau score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Le Puy Foot score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concarneau | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Le Puy Foot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Concarneau sit 7th in Ligue 3 (17 points from 11 matches) and Le Puy Foot sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Concarneau | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot?
- The Footlab AI model makes Concarneau the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Le Puy Foot.
- Where and when is Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot played?
- Concarneau vs Le Puy Foot is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Francis-Le Blé, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.