Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly: prediction and stats
Ligue 3Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stade de Guentrange, Thionville
The Footlab AI model makes Thionville Lusitanos the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Quevilly. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thionville Lusitanos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly?
On Elo ratings, Thionville Lusitanos has 1,859 points and Quevilly 1,825.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thionville Lusitanos
4-4-2- 9M. Bouhmidi
- 7K. Tubio
- 26E. Montet
- 8S. Kilic
- 20B. Diarra
- 22J. Moustaid
- 6M. Aljic
- 5J. Atangana
- 23S. Bouzar
- 17D. Luvualu
- 40W. Bedfian
Quevilly
3-5-2- 20G. Capuano
- 11D. Seck
- 19Y. Gazzaoui
- 7S. Come Ruiz
- 17Djibril Sarr
- 29R. Silva
- 4R. Padovani
- 26V. Theresin
- 18M. Hamdi
- 28S. Mopila
- 16M. Silistrie
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 04:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thionville Lusitanos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Quevilly have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Cannes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Amiens(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Versailles(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Le Puy Foot(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | La Roche VF(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villefranche(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bastia(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Orleans(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Amiens(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thionville Lusitanos score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Quevilly score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thionville Lusitanos | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Quevilly | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thionville Lusitanos sit 11th in Ligue 3 (16 points from 12 matches) and Quevilly sit 10th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Quevilly | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
A question about Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thionville Lusitanos the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Quevilly.
- Where and when is Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly played?
- Thionville Lusitanos vs Quevilly is played on December 5, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stade de Guentrange, in the Ligue 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.