Congo vs Cameroon: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 2Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, Brazzaville
The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Congo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Congo vs Cameroon?
Cameroon starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,412).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Congo have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Cameroon have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Niger(away) | 1-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Tanzania(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Nigeria(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | Senegal(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | China(away) | 2-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Australia(away) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 9, 2026 | Morocco(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 4, 2026 | South Africa(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Mozambique(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Congo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Cameroon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | Cameroon 1-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Congo 1-1 Cameroon | Friendlies |
| Jan 16, 2018 | Cameroon 0-1 Congo | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Congo 0-1 Cameroon | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Cameroon 0-0 Congo | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Congo score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cameroon score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Congo | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cameroon | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Congo sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (4 points from 6 matches) and Cameroon sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cameroon | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Congo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Congo vs Cameroon?
- The Footlab model makes Cameroon the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Congo.
- Where and when is Congo vs Cameroon played?
- Congo vs Cameroon is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Débat, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.