Ethiopia vs Senegal: result 0-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Addis Ababa Stadium, Addis Abeba
Full time
What was the result of Ethiopia vs Senegal?
Senegal won 0-1 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 11′I. MbayeSenegal
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Senegal win at 76%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-2. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Ethiopia vs Senegal
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ethiopia
4-2-3-1- 10Abed Yalew
- 17B. Fikru
- 8Canaan Markneh
- 19C. Gugsa
- 21Habtamu Gezahegn Tekeste
- 6Gathouch Panom
- 14S Yohanes
- 15Bereket Samuel
- 16Yared Bayeh
- 4B. Berhane
- 1abubakar nuri
Senegal
3-4-3- 21A. Sima
- 11N. Jackson
- 7Assane Diao
- 25E. Diouf
- 8L. Camara
- 26P. Gueye
- 20I. Mbaye
- 27M. Sarr
- 19M. Niakhaté
- 4Sadibou Sané
- 1Y. Diouf
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ethiopia have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Senegal have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Sudan(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Malawi(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Sao Tome and Principe(away) | 3-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Iraq(home) | 5-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Norway(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2026 | France(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Ethiopia score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Senegal score 1.8 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethiopia | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Senegal | 1.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ethiopia sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (0 points from 2 matches) and Senegal sit 1st (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
A question about Ethiopia vs Senegal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy