Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone: result 1-0 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?
Equatorial Guinea won 1-0 on September 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 1′Loren ZúñigaEquatorial Guinea
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Equatorial Guinea win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Equatorial Guinea
4-4-2- 9Dorian Hanza
- 10Loren Zúñiga
- 20Santiago Eneme
- 22Pablo Ganet
- 14Álex Balboa
- 8Jannick Buyla
- 12Charles Ondo
- 16Saúl Coco
- 21Esteban Obiang
- 24Rony Mbomio
- 1Jesús Owono
Sierra Leone
4-2-3-1- 15Alie Conteh
- 7I. Kanu
- 8Alhassan Koroma
- 17M. Kamara
- 14T. Fornah
- 22Saidu Bah Kamara
- 18Sallieu Capay Tarawallie
- 21Abdulay Bah
- 5Alpha Turay
- 2O. Kakay
- 1M. Jalloh
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Sierra Leone have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Madagascar(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Algeria(home) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Zimbabwe(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Liberia(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Liberia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-1 | FIFA Series |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Djibouti(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Equatorial Guinea win, 0 draws, 0 Sierra Leone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | Sierra Leone 0-1 Equatorial Guinea | Africa Cup of Nations |
Last archived meeting: Sierra Leone vs Equatorial Guinea on Jan 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sierra Leone score 1.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Sierra Leone | 1.1 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Sierra Leone sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Equatorial Guinea vs Sierra Leone?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy