South Sudan vs Egypt: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 2Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Juba Stadium, Juba
The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for South Sudan. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win South Sudan vs Egypt?
Egypt is a heavy favourite: 1,723 Elo points against 1,354 — a 370-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Sudan have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Egypt have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Djibouti(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Djibouti(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Syria(away) | 0-2 | Arab Cup |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Togo(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Iran(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | New Zealand(away) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Belgium(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Brazil(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| May 28, 2026 | Russia(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 South Sudan win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Egypt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2023 | Egypt 3-0 South Sudan | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
South Sudan score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Egypt score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Sudan | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Egypt | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
South Sudan sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 6 matches) and Egypt sit 1st (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for South Sudan vs Egypt?
- The Footlab model makes Egypt the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for South Sudan.
- Where and when is South Sudan vs Egypt played?
- South Sudan vs Egypt is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Juba Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.