Match

Conquense vs Albacete II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, Cuenca

ConquenseAlbacete II

The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Albacete II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Conquense vs Albacete II?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Conquense (1,910) and Albacete II (1,905).

Conquense win44 %
Draw28 %
Albacete II win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conquense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Albacete II have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Conquense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 31, 2026UD Ourense(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 17, 2026Xerez(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026Xerez(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Real Madrid III(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Conquense win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Albacete II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 10, 2024Albacete II 2-2 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Oct 22, 2023Conquense 2-0 Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18
Mar 27, 2022Conquense 2-2 Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 27, 2021Albacete II 0-1 ConquenseTercera División RFEF - Group 18
Nov 24, 2019Conquense 0-2 Albacete IITercera División RFEF - Group 18

Last archived meeting: Albacete II vs Conquense on Mar 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Conquense score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Conquense1.10.965/154/15
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Conquense3416126423060

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Conquense vs Albacete II?
The Footlab model makes Conquense the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Albacete II.
Where and when is Conquense vs Albacete II played?
Conquense vs Albacete II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Fuensanta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Conquense and Albacete II

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