Match

Albacete II vs RSD Alcalá: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, Albacete

Albacete IIRSD Alcalá

The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for RSD Alcalá. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Albacete II vs RSD Alcalá?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Albacete II (1,906) and RSD Alcalá (1,876).

Albacete II win48 %
Draw27 %
RSD Alcalá win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Albacete II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; RSD Alcalá have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Albacete II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 21, 2026Leioa(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 13, 2026Leioa(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 6, 2026Manchego(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 30, 2026Manchego(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
May 24, 2026Toledo(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
RSD Alcalá
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Gimnástica Segoviana(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026CD Coria(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)2-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Albacete II score 1.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; RSD Alcalá score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Albacete II1.50.4102/154/15
RSD Alcalá1.50.967/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6RSD Alcalá3414911423951

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Albacete II vs RSD Alcalá?
The Footlab model makes Albacete II the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for RSD Alcalá.
Where and when is Albacete II vs RSD Alcalá played?
Albacete II vs RSD Alcalá is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Andrés Iniesta, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Albacete II and RSD Alcalá

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