Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, Segovia
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Gimnástica Segoviana (1,846) and Real Valladolid II (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Segoviana have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Real Valladolid II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Burgos Promesas(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Gimnástica Segoviana win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Real Valladolid II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana 1-2 Real Valladolid II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Real Valladolid II 2-2 Gimnástica Segoviana | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Gimnástica Segoviana 0-2 Real Valladolid II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Segoviana score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Valladolid II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Segoviana | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Valladolid II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Segoviana the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Real Valladolid II.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II played?
- Gimnástica Segoviana vs Real Valladolid II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Albuera, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.