Match

Guadalajara vs Getafe II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara

GuadalajaraGetafe II

The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Getafe II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guadalajara vs Getafe II?

A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Guadalajara (1,881) and Getafe II (1,901).

Guadalajara win42 %
Draw28 %
Getafe II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Getafe II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guadalajara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Marchamalo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Athletic Club II(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026Arenteiro(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 2, 2026Real Avilés(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Getafe II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Talavera(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026UD Logroñés(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 10, 2026UD Logroñés(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Orihuela(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Guadalajara win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Getafe II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 20, 2025Guadalajara 2-1 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 8, 2024Getafe II 2-2 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 28, 2024Getafe II 2-0 GuadalajaraSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 17, 2023Guadalajara 1-0 Getafe IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Guadalajara vs Getafe II on Apr 20, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Guadalajara score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Getafe II score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guadalajara1.51.349/157/15
Getafe II1.31.065/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Getafe II341699553557

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guadalajara vs Getafe II?
The Footlab model makes Guadalajara the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Getafe II.
Where and when is Guadalajara vs Getafe II played?
Guadalajara vs Getafe II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Pedro Escartín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Guadalajara and Getafe II

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