Cordoba vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, Córdoba
The Footlab model makes Cordoba the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cordoba vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cordoba have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Almeria have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Elche(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Sevilla(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Al-Nassr(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cordoba win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Almeria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cordoba 0-4 Almeria | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Almeria 2-1 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cordoba 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Cordoba 0-3 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Almeria 4-0 Cordoba | Segunda División |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Almeria 1-2 Cordoba | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Cordoba score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba | 1.4 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Almeria | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cordoba sit 16th in Segunda División (0 points from 1 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Almeria | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cordoba vs Almeria?
- The Footlab model makes Cordoba the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Cordoba vs Almeria played?
- Cordoba vs Almeria is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Arcángel, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.