Cadiz vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, Cádiz
The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
Las Palmas starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,005 vs 1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cadiz have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Las Palmas have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEOM(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cadiz win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Las Palmas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz 1-3 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Cadiz 1-2 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Las Palmas 1-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Cadiz 2-1 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2024 | Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Cadiz score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cadiz sit 11th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Las Palmas sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cadiz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cadiz vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Cadiz vs Las Palmas played?
- Cadiz vs Las Palmas is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.