Mallorca vs Sabadell: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sabadell. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca vs Sabadell?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Mallorca (2,073) and Sabadell (2,000).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Sabadell have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Al-Ittihad FC(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al-Fateh(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Olot(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Mallorca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sabadell win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2021 | Sabadell 1-0 Mallorca | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Mallorca 1-0 Sabadell | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sabadell score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.8 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sabadell | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca sit 6th in Segunda División (3 points from 1 matches) and Sabadell sit 14th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mallorca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Sabadell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Sabadell?
- The Footlab model makes Mallorca the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Sabadell.
- Where and when is Mallorca vs Sabadell played?
- Mallorca vs Sabadell is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.