Sporting Gijon vs Eldense: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eldense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Sporting Gijon (1,958) and Eldense (1,933).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Eldense have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Sporting Gijon win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Eldense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Eldense 1-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Eldense 0-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 27, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 2-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Eldense vs Sporting Gijon on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Eldense score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Eldense | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 12th in Segunda División (1 points from 1 matches) and Eldense sit 18th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sporting Gijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Eldense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Eldense?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eldense.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Eldense played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Eldense is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.