Valladolid vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab model makes Valladolid the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Oviedo?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Valladolid (1,878) and Oviedo (1,956).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Oviedo have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 1. FC Nürnberg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Ponferradina(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Valladolid win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Oviedo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | Valladolid 3-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Oviedo 0-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Oviedo 3-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Valladolid 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Apr 20, 2018 | Oviedo 1-2 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Valladolid 3-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 20th in Segunda División (0 points from 1 matches) and Oviedo sit 15th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Oviedo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | Valladolid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab model makes Valladolid the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Oviedo played?
- Valladolid vs Oviedo is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.