Castellón vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Granada CF?
Castellón starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Granada CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 9Ousmane Camara
- 8Barri
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 12Lucas Alcázar
- 13R. Matthys
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Granada CF have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Girona(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Castellón win, 1 draw, 2 Granada CF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Castellón 3-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Granada CF 0-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| May 25, 2025 | Granada CF 2-1 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Castellón 2-3 Granada CF | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Castellón vs Granada CF on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 3rd in Segunda División (20 points from 9 matches) and Granada CF sit 10th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Castellón vs Granada CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Granada CF played?
- Castellón vs Granada CF is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.