Corinthians vs Bahia: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on January 28, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Corinthians vs Bahia?
Bahia won 1-2 on January 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 12′BrenoCorinthians
- 32′Jean LucasBahia
- 45′Willian JoséBahia (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bahia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Velo Clube(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-3 | Paulista - A1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Ponte Preta(home) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Barcelona BA(home) | 5-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Galícia(home) | 3-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 3-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Jequié(home) | 4-2 | Baiano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Corinthians win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Corinthians 1-2 Bahia | Serie A |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Bahia 1-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Corinthians 3-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Bahia 0-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Corinthians 1-5 Bahia | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Bahia 0-0 Corinthians | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bahia | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 9th in Serie A (32 points from 23 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (34 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bahia | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 34 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 22 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy