Corinthians vs Vitoria: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 31Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Vitoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Corinthians wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Corinthians vs Vitoria?
On Elo ratings, Corinthians has 1,813 points and Vitoria 1,812.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Corinthians vs Vitoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Corinthians
4-2-3-1- 9Yuri Alberto
- 37Kaio César
- 8R. Garro
- 7Breno
- 10M. Depay
- 14Raniele
- 13Gustavo Henrique
- 21Matheus Bidu
- 2Matheuzinho
- 3Gabriel Paulista
- 1Hugo Souza
Vitoria
4-2-3-1- 91Rene
- 12D. Tarzia
- 33Erick
- 95Caíque
- 10Matheuzinho
- 6E. Martínez
- 36Luan Cândido
- 83Jamerson
- 98Mateusinho
- 25Cacá
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 10:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Corinthians have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vitoria have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Flamengo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Corinthians wins, 3 draws, 0 Vitoria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vitoria 0-0 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Vitoria 0-1 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Corinthians 0-0 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Vitoria 1-2 Corinthians | Serie A |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria | Serie A |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Vitoria 2-2 Corinthians | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Vitoria vs Corinthians on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Corinthians score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitoria | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Corinthians sit 16th in Serie A (32 points from 29 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (36 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Vitoria | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 36 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 34 | 32 |
A question about Corinthians vs Vitoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Corinthians vs Vitoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Corinthians the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Vitoria.
- Where and when is Corinthians vs Vitoria played?
- Corinthians vs Vitoria is played on October 18, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Maracanã, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.