Fluminense vs Gremio: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 1Kick-off on January 28, 2026 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Gremio?
Fluminense won 2-1 on January 28, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 46′NonatoFluminense
- 59′L. AcostaFluminense
- 75′Carlos ViníciusGremio
Official lineup for Fluminense vs Gremio
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Fluminense
4-2-3-1- 99John Kennedy
- 90K. Serna
- 32L. Acosta
- 17A. Canobbio
- 8Martinelli
- 16Nonato
- 6Renê
- 22J. Freytes
- 3Jemmes
- 2Samuel Xavier
- 1Fábio
Gremio
4-2-3-1- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- 8Edenílson
- 21Tetê
- 29Arthur
- 17Dodi
- 23Marlon
- 3Wagner Leonardo
- 53Gustavo Martins
- 18João Pedro
- 1Weverton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Gremio have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Nova Iguaçu(away) | 3-2 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Boavista SC(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Madureira(home) | 2-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Internacional(away) | 2-4 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Guarany de Bagé(away) | 2-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | São Luiz(home) | 5-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Sao Jose(home) | 0-1 | Gaúcho - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Avenida(away) | 4-0 | Gaúcho - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fluminense wins, 1 draw, 2 Gremio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | Gremio 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Fluminense 1-0 Gremio | Serie A |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
| Aug 20, 2024 | Fluminense 2-1 Gremio | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Gremio 2-1 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Jun 30, 2024 | Gremio 1-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 2.0 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (51 points from 30 matches) and Gremio sit 18th (31 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | 31 |
A question about Fluminense vs Gremio?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy