Crawley Town vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,511 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Swindon Town starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 28Nathan Tinsdale
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 16J. Russell
- 2K. Gordon
- 1V. Mannone
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 25J. Thomson
- 7T. Nichols
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 21K. Majekodunmi
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 3 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Crawley Town 2-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Crawley Town 4-2 Swindon Town | League Cup |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Crawley Town 3-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Swindon Town 6-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| May 8, 2023 | Swindon Town 2-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Swindon Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (9 points from 12 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Swindon Town played?
- Crawley Town vs Swindon Town is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.