Barnet vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Hive Stadium, London
The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barnet wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barnet vs Newport County?
Barnet starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,925 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barnet vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barnet
4-2-3-1- 20K. Tshimanga
- 7T. Knowles
- 11I. Kanu
- 8C. Lakin
- 22O. Gallagher
- 23J. Reeves
- 6Z. Williams
- 5A. Senior
- 4D. Collinge
- 3R. Crichlow-Noble
- 13M. Cox
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 27C. Doidge
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 9S. Gwengwe
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 16M. Jacob
- 1J. Wright
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barnet have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Newport County have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Barnet win, 3 draws, 2 Newport County wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Barnet 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Newport County 0-0 Barnet | League Two |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Barnet 2-2 Newport County | League Cup |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Barnet 1-4 Newport County | FA Cup |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Newport County 1-1 Barnet | FA Cup |
| Apr 21, 2018 | Barnet 2-0 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Barnet vs Newport County on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barnet score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Newport County | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barnet sit 2nd in League Two (18 points from 8 matches) and Newport County sit 12th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 11 | 18 |
| 12 | Newport County | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Barnet vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barnet vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barnet the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Barnet vs Newport County played?
- Barnet vs Newport County is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Hive Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.