Bristol Rovers vs Northampton: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Northampton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Northampton?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Bristol Rovers (1,772) and Northampton (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Northampton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 21R. Smallwood
- 22Keenan Gough
- 10B. Kamwa
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 10:48 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Northampton have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bristol Rovers wins, 0 draws, 2 Northampton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Northampton 2-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Northampton | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton | League One |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Northampton 0-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Bristol Rovers on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 9th in League Two (15 points from 11 matches) and Northampton sit 22nd (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Northampton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Northampton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Northampton.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Northampton played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Northampton is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.