Oldham vs Crewe: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Crewe. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldham vs Crewe?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Oldham (1,778) and Crewe (1,835).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oldham vs Crewe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oldham
4-2-3-1- 9M. Fondop-Talum
- 8O. Norburn
- 7K. Appiah-Forson
- 10C. Kavanagh
- 14N. Chilvers
- 17F. Fawunmi
- 24L. Temple
- 3J. Robson
- 2G. Scott-Morriss
- 6E. Monthe
- 1M. Hudson
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 29A. Thibaut
- 10J. White
- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 4Kyle Ure
- 1T. Booth
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Crewe have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 4-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oldham win, 2 draws, 3 Crewe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Crewe 2-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Oldham 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jul 27, 2021 | Oldham 2-1 Crewe | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Crewe 2-1 Oldham | League Two |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Oldham 1-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Oldham 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Crewe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldham sit 21st in League Two (8 points from 9 matches) and Crewe sit 3rd (18 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Oldham vs Crewe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Crewe?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Crewe.
- Where and when is Oldham vs Crewe played?
- Oldham vs Crewe is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.