Chesterfield vs Rochdale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 37Kick-off on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Rochdale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Rochdale?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Chesterfield (1,900) and Rochdale (1,892).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Rochdale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 18L. Marsh
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 15A. Pond
- 23R. Boot
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 45G. Middleton
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 20Sam William John Waller
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rochdale have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-5 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chesterfield wins, 1 draw, 2 Rochdale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Chesterfield 2-2 Rochdale | National League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Rochdale 1-2 Chesterfield | National League |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Rochdale 1-2 Chesterfield | FA Cup |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Chesterfield 1-3 Rochdale | League One |
| Dec 26, 2016 | Rochdale 3-0 Chesterfield | League One |
| Dec 6, 2016 | Rochdale 0-2 Chesterfield | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Rochdale on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rochdale score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Rochdale | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (19 points from 13 matches) and Rochdale sit 17th (15 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 15 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Rochdale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Rochdale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Rochdale.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Rochdale played?
- Chesterfield vs Rochdale is played on March 26, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.