Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
FA Cup1/128-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Crewe (1,776) and AFC Wimbledon (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 9J. March
- 14J. Gibson
- 11J. Tabiner
- 17M. Holíček
- 8C. Thomas
- 10J. White
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 3R. Hutchinson
- 1T. Booth
AFC Wimbledon
5-3-2- 9J. Stockley
- 23H. Cornick
- 5O. Harrison
- 12A. Smith
- 21M. Hippolyte
- 29A. Sasu
- 3S. Seddon
- 17A. Yiadom
- 6R. Johnson
- 7J. Tilley
- 39J. Bursik
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 0-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crewe wins, 5 draws, 1 AFC Wimbledon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | AFC Wimbledon 3-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2023 | AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Crewe 0-0 AFC Wimbledon | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2022 | AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Crewe on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon is played on November 7, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the FA Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.