Croatia vs France: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 20, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Poljud, Split
Full time
What was the result of Croatia vs France?
Croatia won 2-0 on March 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′A. BudimirCroatia
- 45′I. PerišićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Croatia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; France have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Poland(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Italy(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Israel(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Israel(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Croatia win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 France win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | France 0-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Croatia 1-1 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Croatia 1-2 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2020 | France 4-2 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 15, 2018 | France 4-2 Croatia | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; France score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| France | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy