France vs Croatia: result 2-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 23, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stade de France, Saint-Denis
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What was the result of France vs Croatia?
France won 2-0 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 52′M. OliseFrance
- 80′O. DembéléFrance
- 120′Kylian MbappéFrance (pen.)
- 120′N. MoroCroatia (pen.)
- 120′A. TchouaméniFrance (pen.)
- 120′Mario PasalicCroatia (pen.)
- 120′R. Kolo MuaniFrance (pen.)
- 120′K. JakićCroatia (pen.)
- 120′D. Ćaleta-CarCroatia (pen.)
- 120′D. DouéFrance (pen.)
- 120′D. UpamecanoFrance (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Croatia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Croatia(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Italy(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Israel(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Israel(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | France(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Portugal(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Scotland(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 France win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Croatia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Croatia 2-0 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2022 | France 0-1 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Croatia 1-1 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2020 | Croatia 1-2 France | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 8, 2020 | France 4-2 Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 15, 2018 | France 4-2 Croatia | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Croatia | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy