Germany vs Italy: result 3-3 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 23, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
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What was the result of Germany vs Italy?
Germany and Italy drew 3-3 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 30′J. KimmichGermany (pen.)
- 36′J. MusialaGermany
- 45′T. KleindienstGermany
- 49′M. KeanItaly
- 69′M. KeanItaly
- 90′G. RaspadoriItaly (pen.)
Official lineup for Germany vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Germany
4-2-3-1- 9T. Kleindienst
- 18M. Mittelstädt
- 10J. Musiala
- 19L. Sané
- 8L. Goretzka
- 16A. Stiller
- 15N. Schlotterbeck
- 4J. Tah
- 2A. Rüdiger
- 6J. Kimmich
- 1O. Baumann
Italy
3-5-2- 11D. Maldini
- 9M. Kean
- 19D. Udogie
- 8S. Tonali
- 6S. Ricci
- 18N. Barella
- 22G. Di Lorenzo
- 21A. Bastoni
- 4A. Buongiorno
- 5F. Gatti
- 1G. Donnarumma
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Italy have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Italy(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Hungary(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Germany(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | France(home) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Belgium(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Israel(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Belgium(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Germany wins, 2 draws, 1 Italy win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Italy 1-2 Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 14, 2022 | Germany 5-2 Italy | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 4, 2022 | Italy 1-1 Germany | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 2, 2016 | Germany 2-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Germany 1-2 Italy | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany sit 3rd in UEFA Nations League (5 points from 4 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ItalyGroup A | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | GermanyGroup B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
A question about Germany vs Italy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy