Portugal vs Denmark: result 5-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 23, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
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What was the result of Portugal vs Denmark?
Portugal won 5-2 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 38′J. AndersenPortugal (o.g.)
- 56′R. KristensenDenmark
- 72′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
- 76′C. EriksenDenmark
- 86′TrincãoPortugal
- 91′TrincãoPortugal
- 115′Gonçalo RamosPortugal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portugal have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Denmark have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Poland(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Poland(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Portugal(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Serbia(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Spain(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Switzerland(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Spain(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Portugal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Denmark win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Denmark 1-0 Portugal | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Denmark 2-3 Portugal | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Portugal score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Denmark score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Denmark | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy